Syria Watch

Syrian Revolution Digest: Wednesday, 10 April 2013 

Impunity Central!

While some seem to have perfected the art of killing with impunity, others are busy perfecting the art of watching them with impunity. Ours is the Golden Age of Impunity.

 

News

U.N. talks with Syria on chemical arms probe at “impasse” Syria and the United Nations have been exchanging letters for weeks but the two sides are far from agreement on how the investigation should be run, diplomats said on condition of anonymity.

Syria refugees struggle outside Jordan camps Thousands of Syrians who fled homeland live in abandoned buildings and struggle for humanitarian aid.

Israel may be operating in Syria: Troops are allegedly working to identify wounded Syrians and administer basic medical care A senior Israeli source told GlobalPost that wounded Syrian rebels who have received medical care in Israel “are transported across the border only once they are positively identified and receive initial emergency medical treatment while still on the other side,” meaning on Syrian soil. This indicates a much higher level of activity by Israel in rebel-held lands than has previously been acknowledged. It also is a sign that Israel is willing to put some of its own personnel in significant peril in order to retain some semblance of order at the national boundary line.

Israel indicts Arab citizen for joining Syria’s insurgency An Israeli official said Hikmat Massarwa’s case was the first of its kind. Indicted for unlawful military training, travel to a hostile country and contacts with foreign agents, he could be jailed for up to 15 years if convicted. Massarwa, 29, was arrested on March 19 upon returning from Syria, where he helped set up a rebel base and underwent weapons training, Israel’s Shin Bet domestic intelligence service said in a statement.

Human Rights Watch – Syria: Aerial Attacks Strike Civilians The 80-page report, “Death from the Skies: Deliberate and Indiscriminate Air Strikes on Civilians,” is based on visits to 50 sites of government air strikes in opposition-controlled areas in Aleppo, Idlib, and Latakia governorates, and more than 140 interviews with witnesses and victims. The air strikes Human Rights Watch documented killed at least 152 civilians. According to a network of local Syrian activists, air strikes have killed more than 4,300 civilians across Syria since July 2012. “In village after village, we found a civilian population terrified by their country’s own air force,” said Ole Solvang, a Human Rights Watch emergencies researcher who visited the sites and interviewed many of the victims and witnesses. “These illegal air strikes killed and injured many civilians and sowed a path of destruction, fear, and displacement.”

Move to Widen Help for Syrian Rebels Gains Speed in West In Washington, administration officials said President Obama had not yet signed off on a specific package of measures, but had agreed in principle to increase assistance to the military wing of the Syrian opposition that could include battlefield gear like body armor and night-vision goggles, but not arms. “Our assistance has been on an upward trajectory, and the president has directed his national security team to identify additional measures so that we can increase assistance,” a senior administration official said.

Iraq Inspects 3rd Iranian Plane to Syria This Week

 

Special Reports

Syria rebel group’s dangerous tie to al Qaeda The fact that al-Nusra has publicly aligned itself with central al Qaeda is worrisome. A long-term safe haven for this group in Syria could be the prelude for the formation of an organization with the wherewithal to attack the West, just as al Qaeda’s sojourn in Afghanistan when it was controlled by the Taliban prepared the group for the 9/11 attacks. Second, al-Nusra is widely regarded as the most effective fighting force in Syria, and its thousands of fighters are the most disciplined of the forces opposing Assad. Al-Nusra is also the first al Qaeda affiliate to take a page out of Hezbollah’s book and operate not only as an effective fighting force but also as a large-scale provider of services, for instance, distributing enormous quantities of desperately needed bread in the areas of Syria that the group controls. Finally, al-Nusra is the first jihadist group for many years that has chosen to merge with al Qaeda at a time when it is having significant success on the battlefield. Al Qaeda’s North African franchise, al Qaeda in the Islamic Maghreb, as well as the Yemen-based al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, both announced their affiliation with al Qaeda only when they were struggling for resources and exposure.

Tensions Emerge in Al-Qaida Alliance in Syria The apparent tensions between Jabhat al-Nusra and al-Qaida in Iraq emerged on Wednesday, when Nusra leader Abu Mohammad al-Golani appeared to distance himself from claims the two groups had merged. Instead, he pledged allegiance to al-Qaida’s leader, Ayman al-Zawahiri. Al-Golani said he was not consulted about the merger and only heard about it through the media. He did not deny the two groups had united, but remained vague, saying the announcement was premature and that his group will continue to use Jabhat al-Nusra as its name.

Sisters in Arms Join the Fighting in Syria “We see women rebels fighting in the Kurdish areas, in Aleppo, in Homs,” said Rami Abdul-Rahman, founder of the Syrian Observatory for Human Rights, a monitoring group based in Britain. Women are holding positions both on the battlefront and behind the lines, he said. This reflects a new strand in the Syrian civil war, according to commanders, opposition politicians, journalists, aid workers and activists. Women on both sides are seeking a bigger military role and are finding ways around cultural barriers that keep them from the battlefield.

Hamas, Hezbollah Take Opposite Sides in Syria Traitor or not, Middle Eastern politics is well known for its complexities and elusive alliances. Meshaal made the right choice if he is to survive in this seething region. This is realpolitik at its best: What do you do, and how do you do it, when the ground beneath your feet is in flames and you have no choice but to leave and find another patron to offer you shelter? When it comes to that, Hassan Nasrallah could learn a lesson or two from Meshaal.

My new paper, prepared for a briefing in Washington, D.C. that took place on January 15, 2013, is now out and is titled “Syria 2013: Rise of the Warlords.” It should be read in conjunction with my previous briefing “The Shredded Tapestry,” and my recent essay “The Creation of an Unbridgeable Divide.

 

Quickly Noted

My take on the recent exchange between head of Al-Qaeda in Iraq (the Islamic Republic of Iraq), Abu Bakr Al-Bahgdadi, and Abu Muhammad Al-Jolani, head of Al-Qaeda’s affiliate in Syria Jabhat Al-Nusra.

As Jabhat Al-Nusra looks to consolidate its hold on Deir Ezzor and Raqqa provinces, Al-Baghdadi feels that he is being left out. He makes his announcement referring to Al-Nusra as an extention of his group to put Al-Jolani in place. But, Al-Jolani, while acknowledging that Al-Qaeda in Iraq was indeed its initial benefactor, reassures his allegiance to Al-Qaeda leader, Al-Zawahiri. By doing this, he puts himself on equal footing with Al-Baghdadi and asserts his independence. But the incident proves Al-Nusra’s connection to Al-Qaeda and creates problems for her on the domestic scene.

 

Video Highlights

Pro-Assad militias perpetrate a new massacre in the town of Sanamein in Daraa province. Locals say members of Hezbollah and Iraqi Shia fighters were involved. After particularly intense pounding, around 1,500 troops entered the city and set fires to homes killing over 40 people, including women and children, Many were killed with knives: some of the dead  http://youtu.be/Tbs3L4EBRQw , http://youtu.be/SPe0rnsVeK8 burnt out homes http://youtu.be/oQCu_Dw2W8c , http://youtu.be/gWPi4hkCRFM

SNHR Condemns Seven Pool Square/Damascus Explosion and Demands Neutral Investigation

DAMASCUS, Syria — A terrorist explosion took place in the area between seven pool square and Shahbander in the capital Damascus on Monday noon 8/4/2013  , causing the death of at least 10 victims and more than 25 injured , and heavy material damages in the surrounding buildings.

Syrian Network for Human Rights condemns the seven pool square explosion and all acts of bombing that took place in residential districts and targeting civilians , regardless of their perpetrators and considers it as a terrorism criminal act aimed to loss human spirits.

Syrian regime is the main responsible of Lawlessness that led the country to a unprecedented state of destruction and Chaos by their daily and continuous acts od shelling by Scud missiles , surface to surface rockets and other different kinds of weapons , causing loose of  security and more than five million displacements inside Syria  and nearly two million refugees.

SNHR demands UN to send special commission of inquiry to investigate the explosion and all other bombings took place before and disclose who is behind the acts of bombing , so to not adopt the Syrian regime point of view , which adopt only one story that Al-Qaeda, Islamist extremists  and  Alnosra are responsible for all the explosions in Syria, noting that Syrian Parliament or even Syrian judiciary didn’t open any investigation about any bombing or any massacre on Syrian territory since the beginning of the Syrian Revolution and up to the minute, even that the Syrian regime banned all media except the loyal to them to cover events , and also prevented us and all human rights organizations to work freely on Syrian territory.

Syrian Revolution Digest: Tuesday, 9 April 2013

Silent Wringing!

The predictable continues to happen in Syria, as world leaders hold on to their well-rehearsed befuddlement, wringing their hands, while fate wrings our necks.

News

Syria’s al-Nusra Front ‘part of al-Qaeda’ Al-Qaeda in Iraq has confirmed for the first time that a prominent jihadist group fighting in Syria is part of its network. The al-Nusra Front is at the forefront of the armed opposition to President Bashar al-Assad’s regime. The leader of the Iraqi wing of al-Qaeda said that al-Nusra is battling for an Islamic state in Syria. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, head of the Islamic State in Iraq, added that both groups were merging. He said: “We announce the abolition of the Islamic state of Iraq’s name and Jabhat Al-Nusra’s name and their amalgamation in one state under one name: The Islamic state in Iraq and the Levant.”

Libya arms fueling conflicts in Syria, Mali and beyond: U.N. expertsThe experts said transfers of arms to Syria – where a two-year-old civil war has killed more than 70,000 people – had been organized from various locations in Libya, including Misrata and Benghazi, via Turkey or northern Lebanon. “The significant size of some shipments and the logistics involved suggest that representatives of the Libyan local authorities might have at least been aware of the transfers, if not actually directly involved,” the experts said.

Syria ‘death video’ of Sheikh al-Bouti poses questions A video currently circulating on the internet, purporting to show the explosion on 21 March that killed Sheikh Muhammad al-Bouti in a Damascus mosque, raises many questions about the death of a man who was more familiar to Syrian TV viewers than anybody other than President Bashar al-Assad.

Twelve Hezbollah members killed in ambush near Damascus

U.S. deals with the ‘symptoms not the disease’ in Syria: analyst


Special Reports

In Syria, some brace for the next war The capture last month of the city of Raqqah, Syria’s first provincial capital to fall under opposition control, consolidated the gains of an assortment of mostly Islamist-inclined groups across three northeastern provinces. Forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad cling to just a tiny number of scattered bases and could be ejected anytime. Yet even as the regime continues to hold out, schisms are emerging among rebel groups over ideology, the shape of a future Syrian state and control of the significant resources concentrated in this long-neglected but crucial corner of the country.

Syria’s Jihadists face test of government in eastern city Hardline Islamist brigades patrol streets abandoned by police. A religious court has replaced a collapsed judicial system, and minorities have fled, according to civic activists in Raqqa, the largest city to fall to the opposition since the uprising against four decades of Assad family rule broke out in March 2011. The Jihadist show of force coupled with the absence of the Western-backed Syrian National Coalition, the main grouping of the political opposition, could consolidate an Islamist sweep in the north and east of the country. But the experience of Raqqa, where there have been demonstrations and strikes, shows that Islamist rule has got off to a difficult start.

Why Turkey Won’t Attack Syria The government doesn’t want to boost the stature of the military, it has a big Alawite community, and plenty of other reasons.

A Very Busy Man Behind the Syrian Civil War’s Casualty Count He has been called a tool of the Qatari government, the Muslim Brotherhood, the Central Intelligence Agency and Rifaat al-Assad, the exiled uncle of Syria’s president, Bashar al-Assad, among others. The Syrian government and even some rebels have accused him of treachery. “Rami’s objectivity is killing us,” said Manhal Bareesh, an activist from Saraqib who knew him before the war. But he and other activists in Syria credit him with working hard to document all the cases, and not hesitating to document potential war crimes.

My new paper, prepared for a briefing in Washington, D.C. that took place on January 15, 2013, is now out and is titled “Syria 2013: Rise of the Warlords.” It should be read in conjunction with my previous briefing “The Shredded Tapestry,” and my recent essay “The Creation of an Unbridgeable Divide.

Video Highlights

Two days ago, this Scud missile fell on the village of Salhabiyeh in Raqqah Province, but failed to explode http://youtu.be/gxPDvik9w6k

The pounding of restive neighborhoods in east and south Damascus City continues: Jobar http://youtu.be/Ce5sCtCFIS4 , http://youtu.be/PcOEXoycaj0Al-Hajar Al-Aswad http://youtu.be/tmxSVglOgZQ ,http://youtu.be/IlnSmOKjO2M Al-Madniyeh http://youtu.be/RouNVgSjnAk

Meanwhile warplanes continue their bombardment of the towns and suburbs ofEastern Ghoutah http://youtu.be/Pa0XcZgP5u8 But sometimes, pro-Assad militias are too eager, and accidents happen in which they end up hurting each other http://youtu.be/Cj6tiRzUXII

Tanks keep trying to pound their way into the town of Daraya, west of Damascus City http://youtu.be/pAmXIxa4SVw , http://youtu.be/haIdMXOCjec ,http://youtu.be/lC0DLSepJ-I , http://youtu.be/OuOZWmVLECo ,http://youtu.be/eU8_JwVbiaI Meanwhile, tanks lay siege and continue their pounding of the nearby town of Moadamiya http://youtu.be/dpjsvuDRuBE ,http://youtu.be/y8HGRkBbBw8

Syrian Revolution Digest: Monday, 8 April 2013

Prediction!

Whether by design or not, external players are indeed doing just enough to maintain a state of stalemate in Syria. Syrians will not be allowed to solve their problems until these players solve theirs. It’s not the Islamists who are hijacking the revolution: Islamists, loyalists, secularists, Alawites, tribalists, even nonviolence activists, all now are but instruments of implementation of agendas that they do not control or even want. This revolution has been hijacked by the usual powers-that-be. Failure to draw clear redlines in the first months, allowed for a protest movement to turn into an armed uprising, failure to create a no-fly zone allowed for the armed uprising to pave the way for a civil war, civil wars encourage external dabbling, transforming the conflict into a proxy war. Proxy wars can only be resolved through an international consensus, which usually takes years to be reached. Meanwhile, the seesaw of stalemate grinds on, with rebels pushing and Assadists pushing back. 


News

All Syria chemical arms claims must be probed: U.N.’s Ban

Syria rejects U.N. chemical weapons inspectors as proposed by Ban

‘Chemical weapons were used on Homs’: Syria’s military police defector tells of nerve gas attack: General becomes one of the most senior officers to join the rebels.

Ex-US soldier who ‘fought in Syria’ could face execution

Syrian rights group: Nearly 9,000 regime fighters killed since 2011

Video: The Bombing of Al-Bara

Video: Inside Syrian Rebel Group Northern Storm

Special Reports

Have Syria’s Kurds Had a Change of Heart? Reports indicate that YPG militiamen and Syrian rebels have agreed to share control of the strategic Sheikh Maqsood District of northern Aleppo, cutting off regime supply routes to a hospital, prison, and other key positions. Rebel fighters entered the district largely unopposed on March 31. On April 6, the Syrian military bombarded Kurdish neighborhoods in northern Aleppo, killing 15 people in a likely response to this new arrangement. The following day, Kurdish militiamen attacked a Syrian military checkpoint in the city, killing five troops.

Mistrust mars deal between Syria rebels and Kurdish fighters under the surface, feelings of mutual suspicion run deep. Dozens of men wearing the Kurdish YPG militia uniform – distinct for its yellow star symbol on a red background – stand at a checkpoint. They are visibly more disciplined and organized than the FSA in Aleppo, most of whose checkpoints are manned by young, shabbily dressed fighters. A YPG commander says the Kurds’ priority is self-defense. “We are here to protect our people and residents of Sheikh Maqsoud, where the PYD has been present for years,” he says. “Some FSA rebels are respectable, but others are here just to steal. They break into company premises and loot stuff,” adds the Kurdish commander. Because of this, the fighters are well spread out in Sheikh Maqsoud. Arab rebels keep a lookout in residential areas of the district, while the YPG is responsible for the industrial part.

Despite U.S. concerns, little prevents Islamists from joining Syria fight The foreign fighters would be hard to miss for Turkish and Western intelligence operatives – they stay at established safe houses, openly recruit comrades and often stand out with distinctive appearances and habits – yet there’s been no overt effort to crack down on their presence in frontier towns. “Even with this growing jihadist threat, there’s a reluctance to do anything more proactive on Syria,” said Elizabeth O’Bagy, an analyst with the Institute for the Study of War who recently spent two weeks traveling with rebels in Syria, where she encountered Tunisian, Moroccan and Algerian fighters, she said. That observation was similar to what a McClatchy reporter witnessed during a recent trip to Syria, where he saw Egyptians and Libyans, as well as other nationalities, among rebel fighters. “The pipelines are still open and fighters are coming in quite freely,” O’Bagy said.

A Close-Up Of Syria’s Alawites, Loyalists Of A Troubled Regime Alawites might not have it good now, Hassan says, but they think it would be even worse if Assad were to fall. “There is a big group that believes that it’s their life, their survival,” he says. “There is also a group who almost make him a divine figure that will provide protection.” What the people of Tartous don’t realize, Hassan says, is that the regime is just using this sectarian promise of protection as a way to maintain its own power. He says Alawites are now trapped by fear — a fear that’s allowed them to go from oppressed to oppressors. Most of those who lead the government’s army and security forces — soldiers responsible for thousands of deaths in Syria — are Alawites.

In Syria, Follow the Money to Find the Roots of the Revolt: Economic liberalization without political reform to spread that wealth triggered the civil war, writes Majid Rafizadeh. The regime and the gilded circle of al-Assad, like those of Hosni Mubarak of Egypt, Zein Al-Abedin Ben Ali of Tunisia, and Ali Abdullah Saleh of Yemen, did gain short-term benefits in terms of wealth and capital accumulation from their privatizations and neoliberal policies—all without any of this wealth ever reaching the vast majority of the population. The flaw was that they neglected equality and distribution, political liberalization, without the foresight to realize what the eventual consequence of this imbalance of riches would be.

Were chemical weapons used in Syria? UN team poised for probe: Syrian President Bashar al-Assad called for a chemical-weapons investigation of an alleged March 19 attack, but he’s apparently gotten cold feet. Here’s why. Mr. Assad wants the UN investigators to limit themselves to one reported attack March 19 in a village outside Aleppo, Syria’s largest city and a northern stronghold of the rebellion. But the opposition, backed by Britain and France, insists that the team look into all alleged incidents of chemical-weapons use in Syria, including two attacks elsewhere on March 19 and another case from last December in Homs.

My new paper, prepared for a briefing in Washington, D.C. that took place on January 15, 2013, is now out and is titled “Syria 2013: Rise of the Warlords.” It should be read in conjunction with my previous briefing “The Shredded Tapestry,” and my recent essay “The Creation of an Unbridgeable Divide.

 

Video Highlights

Scenes from the suicide car bomb attack in the Seven Fountains Square in Damascus City http://youtu.be/BtonWc_BLYg , http://youtu.be/CnFzc6puHaI

Scenes of devastation from the aftermath of an aerial raid on the Sukkari Neighborhood in Aleppo City http://youtu.be/pOXTYpOc5-o

I’ll leave to experts to say whether this video is authentic or not, but it is currently being posted on Facebook and Twitter, and some activists are finding it a proof that the regime was behind the assassination of the Islamic Scholar Ramadan Al-Bouti. The video purports to show Al-Bouti at a time when the explosion took place http://youtu.be/XFGwwRQINvg

Two years have elapsed since the beginning of the revolution, but pro-Assad militias keep torturing their captives in the most inhumane manner http://youtu.be/gHJM1BNfvag And we see them torturing a defector by hoisting him from a tank muzzle http://youtu.be/u0r0c9BmQAI

Islamist rebels in the town of Mayadeen, Deir Ezzor Province, capture three locals accusing them of perpetrating thefts while claiming to be members of the Free Syrian Army. Summary justice imposed by Sharia courts is the way many rebels groups are using to  keep law and order in place under their control http://youtu.be/9MFK-CNdKD0

Syrian American activist Aref Agha pays a visit to injured FSA founder Col. Riyad Al-Assaad. The colonel lost a leg in an attempt on his life in the town of Mayadeen, and is currently being hospitalized in Turkey http://youtu.be/4GgVlF6qZBs

The pounding of Deir Ezzor City continues http://youtu.be/x3Y0J1hgct8 , http://youtu.be/2v7lrcfsjSI , http://youtu.be/9SXHd7QjeFw , http://youtu.be/NhmWLXfiIJM

Intense clashes continue to take place in and around the village of Abel, Homs Province http://youtu.be/4hnvPxGHtSI , http://youtu.be/FFW_AVLLMm0 , http://youtu.be/ZwKaMh7tcqs , http://youtu.be/h7Dk3VCl5k4